MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 04:52:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Vitesse
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 3, 2023 at 7pm UK
GelreDome, Arnhem
AZ Alkmaar

Vitesse
0 - 1
AZ

FT(HT: 0-1)
Karlsson (29')
Sugawara (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Vitesse and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vitesse 1-2 Ajax
Sunday, February 26 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: AZ 2-1 Cambuur
Saturday, February 25 at 7pm in Eredivisie

We said: Vitesse 1-2 AZ Alkmaar

With one eye on Tuesday's continental commitment, AZ could opt to field a relatively weaker starting lineup on Friday. Nonetheless, we are backing the away side to come away with all three points, albeit in hard-fought fashion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 52.2%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 24.26% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.73%) and 0-2 (8.68%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 1-0 (6.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for AZ Alkmaar in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for AZ Alkmaar.

Result
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
24.26% (-1.519 -1.52) 23.54% (-0.113 -0.11) 52.2% (1.633 1.63)
Both teams to score 55.73% (-1.224 -1.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81% (-0.879 -0.88)45.19% (0.881 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47% (-0.848 -0.85)67.54% (0.84999999999999 0.85)
Vitesse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.39% (-1.714 -1.71)32.61% (1.716 1.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.85% (-1.967 -1.97)69.15% (1.969 1.97)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.69% (0.28099999999999 0.28)17.31% (-0.279 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.33% (0.49 0.49)47.67% (-0.488 -0.49)
Score Analysis
    Vitesse 24.26%
    AZ Alkmaar 52.2%
    Draw 23.53%
VitesseDrawAZ Alkmaar
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.299 -0.3)
2-0 @ 3.54% (-0.205 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.32% (-0.229 -0.23)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.18 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.32% (-0.144 -0.14)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 24.26%
1-1 @ 11.09%
0-0 @ 5.65% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.21 -0.21)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.094 -0.09)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 9.9% (0.456 0.46)
1-2 @ 9.73% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 8.68% (0.476 0.48)
1-3 @ 5.69% (0.104 0.1)
0-3 @ 5.08% (0.322 0.32)
2-3 @ 3.19% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.49% (0.068 0.07)
0-4 @ 2.23% (0.161 0.16)
2-4 @ 1.4% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 52.2%

How you voted: Vitesse vs AZ

Vitesse
15.7%
Draw
8.4%
AZ Alkmaar
75.9%
83
Head to Head
Jan 7, 2023 5.45pm
AZ
1-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (77')
Sugawara (42'), de Wit (90+3')
Sankoh (87')
Vidovic (34')
May 29, 2022 1.30pm
AZ
6-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (3'), Reijnders (13', 52'), De Wit (41'), Karlsson (75', 89')
Evjen (8')
Bazoer (78')
Bero (29'), Tronstad (69'), Openda (69')
May 26, 2022 7pm
Vitesse
2-1
AZ
Buitink (22'), Openda (86')
Hajek (49')
Clasie (59')
Apr 2, 2022 7pm
AZ
3-1
Vitesse
Pavlidis (32'), Rasmussen (56' og.), Karlsson (83' pen.)
Pavlidis (77')
Tronstad (63')
Bero (58'), Wittek (90+5')
Nov 28, 2021 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV16140256134342
2Ajax16113235161936
3FC UtrechtUtrecht1611323223936
4Feyenoord16105140182235
5FC Twente1694332201231
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1692530171329
7Go Ahead Eagles166462826222
8Fortuna SittardSittard166462023-322
9NAC BredaNAC Breda167181825-722
10Heerenveen166371728-1121
11Willem II165471718-119
12NECNijmegen165292220217
13PEC Zwolle164481525-1016
14Groningen164481426-1216
15Heracles163581833-1514
16Sparta RotterdamSparta162681424-1012
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1613121740-236
18Almere CityAlmere City161312737-306


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