Eredivisie | Gameweek 29

Apr 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente
2 - 0
Sittard

Fofana (52' og.), van Wolfswinkel (86')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Guth (14'), Guth (57'), Sierhuis (67')
Guth (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between FC Twente and Fortuna Sittard, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

FC Twente

All competitions

Last Game: Heerenveen 3-3 FC Twente
Wednesday, April 3 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fortuna Sittard

All competitions

Last Game: Sittard 1-1 Nijmegen
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: FC Twente 3-1 Fortuna Sittard

The home side have won all of the last three encounters between these two sides by 3-0 scorelines, and with them scoring an impressive 53 times in 28 games this season, we expect them to win this one with plenty of goals. Sittard's top scorer Sierhuis is in fantastic form ahead of this one, and we expect him to continue that with yet another goal here, albeit in a losing effort. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 75.09%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 8.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.04%) and 3-0 (10.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.61%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.

Result
FC Twente	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
75.09% ( -0.22)	15.99% ( 0.11)	8.92% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 45.19% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.26% (

-0.19)

40.74% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.88% (

-0.19)

63.12% (

0.19)

FC Twente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.77% (

-0.1)

9.23% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

68.78% (

-0.24)

31.22% (

0.23)

Fortuna Sittard Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.78% (

0.1)

50.22% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.19% (

0.07)

84.81% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

FC Twente 75.08%

Fortuna Sittard 8.92%

Draw 15.99%

FC Twente	Draw	Fortuna Sittard
2-0 @ 13.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 11.04% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.2% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 4.29% ( -0.03) 5-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.48% ( 0) 5-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.48% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.52% Total : 75.08%	1-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.12% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.63% Total : 15.99%	0-1 @ 3.19% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.01% Total : 8.92%