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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 48.81%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 27.25% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 1-2 (6.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
48.81% ( 0.29) | 23.94% ( 0.05) | 27.25% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 57.32% ( -0.46) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.57% ( -0.48) | 44.43% ( 0.48) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.2% ( -0.47) | 66.8% ( 0.47) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.68% ( -0.08) | 18.31% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.6% ( -0.13) | 49.4% ( 0.13) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% ( -0.5) | 29.83% ( 0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.09% ( -0.61) | 65.91% ( 0.61) |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | FC Utrecht |
2-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 9.27% ( 0.17) 2-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.39% 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.89% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.81% | 1-1 @ 11.21% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.76% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.93% | 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.61% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.19% Total : 27.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
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