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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.45%. A win for FC Utrecht had a probability of 24.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.03%) and 0-1 (6.74%). The likeliest FC Utrecht win was 2-1 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
24.49% ( -0.91) | 21.06% ( -0.06) | 54.45% ( 0.98) |
Both teams to score 64.79% ( -0.83) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.63% ( -0.64) | 33.37% ( 0.65) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.85% ( -0.74) | 55.15% ( 0.74) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.99% ( -1.01) | 26.01% ( 1.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.96% ( -1.38) | 61.03% ( 1.38) |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.56% ( 0.07) | 12.43% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.64% ( 0.14) | 38.36% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 6.11% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.93% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 2.75% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.96% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.49% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 6.37% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.07% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 7.03% ( 0.27) 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.24) 1-3 @ 6.58% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.88% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 3.43% ( 0.05) 0-4 @ 2.55% ( 0.11) 2-4 @ 2.31% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 1.43% ( 0.03) 0-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) 3-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.04) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 54.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |