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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Volendam win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 38.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Volendam win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.62%) and 2-0 (5.26%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Volendam would win this match.
Result | ||
FC Volendam | Draw | Cambuur |
38.25% ( 0.04) | 23.52% ( 0.01) | 38.23% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 63.35% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.56% ( -0.02) | 38.43% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.28% ( -0.02) | 60.72% ( 0.02) |
FC Volendam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.6% ( 0.01) | 20.4% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.17% ( 0.02) | 52.83% ( -0.02) |
Cambuur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.59% ( -0.03) | 20.41% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.16% ( -0.05) | 52.84% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
FC Volendam | Draw | Cambuur |
2-1 @ 8.36% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.62% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.52% 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 38.25% | 1-1 @ 10.51% 2-2 @ 6.64% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.62% 0-2 @ 5.26% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.4% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.11% ( -0) Other @ 3.01% Total : 38.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
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