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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 51.91%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 25.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 2-1 (6.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
25.3% ( -0.18) | 22.79% ( 0.01) | 51.91% ( 0.17) |
Both teams to score 59.42% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.18% ( -0.22) | 40.82% ( 0.22) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.79% ( -0.23) | 63.21% ( 0.23) |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.58% ( -0.25) | 29.42% ( 0.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.59% ( -0.32) | 65.41% ( 0.32) |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.18% ( -0.02) | 15.82% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.01% ( -0.04) | 44.99% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Fortuna Sittard | Draw | Vitesse |
2-1 @ 6.42% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 25.3% | 1-1 @ 10.5% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.79% | 1-2 @ 9.68% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 7.91% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.74% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.61% Total : 51.91% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 17 | 15 | 0 | 2 | 59 | 13 | 46 | 45 |
2 | Ajax | 17 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 37 | 16 | 21 | 39 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 34 | 28 | 6 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 35 |
5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 17 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 31 | 17 | 14 | 32 |
6 | FC Twente | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 31 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 30 | 27 | 3 | 25 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 25 | 0 | 25 |
9 | Willem II | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 2 | 22 |
10 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 22 |
11 | Heerenveen | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 21 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 24 | -1 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 17 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 12 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 37 | -27 | 9 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 17 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 41 | -23 | 7 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |