Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.63%) and 0-2 (7.31%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
