Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 56.48%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 22.11% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 1-2 (5.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
