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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 35.76% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.61%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Groningen win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
35.76% ( -0.66) | 24.18% ( 0.15) | 40.06% ( 0.52) |
Both teams to score 60.64% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.12% ( -0.78) | 41.88% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.71% ( -0.79) | 64.29% ( 0.79) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.79% ( -0.71) | 23.21% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.89% ( -1.05) | 57.11% ( 1.05) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.96% ( -0.09) | 21.04% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.17% ( -0.15) | 53.83% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.24% Total : 35.76% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 6.33% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.17% | 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 7.61% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 4.5% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.08% ( 0.08) 1-4 @ 1.76% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 40.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |