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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
45.28% ( 0.13) | 24.76% ( -0.12) | 29.95% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.55% ( 0.52) | 46.45% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.27% ( 0.49) | 68.73% ( -0.48) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( 0.27) | 20.58% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.88% ( 0.43) | 53.12% ( -0.42) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% ( 0.26) | 28.94% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% ( 0.32) | 64.82% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.28% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 40 | 9 | 31 | 33 |
2 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 20 | 11 | 9 | 28 |
3 | Ajax | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 26 |
4 | Feyenoord | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 13 | 15 | 25 |
5 | FC Twente | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 22 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 17 |
7 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 17 |
8 | NECNijmegen | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 16 |
9 | Willem II | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 15 |
10 | Go Ahead Eagles | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 15 |
11 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 21 | -9 | 15 |
12 | Heerenveen | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 23 | -10 | 14 |
13 | Groningen | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 12 |
14 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
15 | Heracles | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 23 | -11 | 12 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 18 | -6 | 11 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 6 | 27 | -21 | 6 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 10 | 31 | -21 | 4 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |