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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 45.28%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
45.28% ( 0.13) | 24.76% ( -0.12) | 29.95% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.55% ( 0.52) | 46.45% ( -0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.27% ( 0.49) | 68.73% ( -0.48) |
FC Utrecht Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.42% ( 0.27) | 20.58% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.88% ( 0.43) | 53.12% ( -0.42) |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.06% ( 0.26) | 28.94% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.18% ( 0.32) | 64.82% ( -0.31) |
Score Analysis |
FC Utrecht | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.86% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 3.92% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.28% | 1-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.76% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.89% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.57% Total : 29.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 16 | 14 | 0 | 2 | 56 | 13 | 43 | 42 |
2 | Ajax | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 35 | 16 | 19 | 36 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 36 |
4 | Feyenoord | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 35 |
5 | FC Twente | 16 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 32 | 20 | 12 | 31 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 22 |
8 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 20 | 23 | -3 | 22 |
9 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 22 |
10 | Heerenveen | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 21 |
11 | Willem II | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 19 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 20 | 2 | 17 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 16 |
14 | Groningen | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 16 |
15 | Heracles | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 33 | -15 | 14 |
16 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 24 | -10 | 12 |
17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 6 |
18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 16 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 7 | 37 | -30 | 6 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |