Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for NEC has a probability of 29.66% and a draw has a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.16%). The likeliest NEC win is 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.06%).