MX23RW : Sunday, May 11 08:42:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Heerenveen
Eredivisie | Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 at 11.15am UK
Abe Lenstra Stadion
AZ Alkmaar

Heerenveen
3 - 1
AZ

Lukovic (5'), Sebaoui (57'), Linday (90+4')
de Wijs (81'), Noppert (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Buurmeester (76')
Belic (34'), Smit (90+6'), Goes (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heerenveen and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Heracles 2-2 AZ (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

We said: Heerenveen 1-3 AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar should certainly face a tougher test than their 9-1 win in the reverse fixture, but with momentum on their side against a struggling Heerenveen team on the back of the loss of their manager, we back the visitors to come out on top on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 45.16%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
30.59% (-0.774 -0.77) 24.24% (-0.138 -0.14) 45.16% (0.91099999999999 0.91)
Both teams to score 58.57% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.19% (0.275 0.27)43.81% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.8% (0.268 0.27)66.19% (-0.267 -0.27)
Heerenveen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.36499999999999 -0.36)27.19% (0.365 0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.479 -0.48)62.6% (0.479 0.48)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.44% (0.505 0.5)19.56% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.53% (0.815 0.81)51.47% (-0.815 -0.81)
Score Analysis
    Heerenveen 30.59%
    AZ Alkmaar 45.16%
    Draw 24.24%
HeerenveenDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.125 -0.13)
1-0 @ 6.93% (-0.155 -0.16)
2-0 @ 4.51% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-1 @ 3.2% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.086 -0.09)
4-1 @ 1.04% (-0.04 -0.04)
Other @ 3%
Total : 30.59%
1-1 @ 11.3% (-0.069999999999999 -0.07)
2-2 @ 6% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.32% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.08% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 5.02% (0.123 0.12)
0-3 @ 3.85% (0.133 0.13)
2-3 @ 3.27% (0.047 0.05)
1-4 @ 2.05% (0.081 0.08)
0-4 @ 1.57% (0.078 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.33% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 45.16%

How you voted: Heerenveen vs AZ

Heerenveen
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
Heerenveen
10.0%
Draw
0.0%
AZ Alkmaar
90.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 14, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 5
AZ
9-1
Heerenveen
Mijnans (4'), Parrott (23', 48', 50', 56'), Sadiq (72'), Meerdink (75'), Belic (82'), Buurmeester (85')
Brouwers (19')
Karlsbakk (80')
Jan 28, 2024 11.15am
Gameweek 19
Heerenveen
2-2
AZ
Clasie (24' og.), Brouwers (51')
van Amersfoort (8'), Brouwers (80')
Pavlidis (20'), Bochniewicz (88' og.)
de Wit (23'), Mijnans (33')
Kasius (40')
Oct 21, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 9
AZ
3-0
Heerenveen
Pavlidis (11', 59', 76')
Bazoer (24')

Brouwers (11')
Apr 1, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
AZ
1-1
Heerenveen
Mous (75' og.)
Jan 14, 2023 5.45pm
Gameweek 16
Heerenveen
0-2
AZ
De Wit (33'), Reijnders (46')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax31235363273674
2PSV EindhovenPSV31224593355870
3Feyenoord31198472333965
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente31149858441451
6AZ AlkmaarAZ31148951341750
7Go Ahead Eagles31138105249347
8Heerenveen32117144056-1640
9Fortuna SittardSittard32116153653-1739
10Sparta RotterdamSparta32911123739-238
11Groningen31108133846-838
12Heracles32911124057-1738
13NECNijmegen3197154345-234
14PEC Zwolle31810133849-1134
15NAC BredaNAC Breda3288163354-2132
16Willem II3267193253-2125
17RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3257203969-3022
18Almere CityAlmere City3248202162-4120


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