Eredivisie | Gameweek 6

Sep 24, 2023 at 11.15am UK

Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel

Sparta
1 - 0
Vitesse

Verschueren (6')
Bakari (58')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Cornelisse (65'), Arcus (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and Vitesse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions

Last Game: AZ 2-0 Sparta
Sunday, September 17 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

Vitesse

All competitions

Last Game: Vitesse 0-2 RKC Waalwijk
Saturday, September 16 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 Vitesse

Sparta Rotterdam may have lost their last match, but they have otherwise looked pretty impressive in the early stages of the Eredivisie campaign. Considering Rijsdijk's side also have a solid recent record against Vitesse, we expect them to narrowly come out on top this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 42.77%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 32.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (7.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Vitesse
32.65% ( -0.06)	24.58% ( 0.16)	42.77% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 58.35% (

-0.6)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.49% (

-0.77)

44.51% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.12% (

-0.75)

66.88% (

0.74)

Sparta Rotterdam Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.77% (

-0.41)

26.23% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66% (

-0.55)

61.33% (

0.54)

Vitesse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.1% (

-0.37)

20.9% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.38% (

-0.58)

53.61% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Sparta Rotterdam 32.65%

Vitesse 42.77%

Draw 24.58%

Sparta Rotterdam	Draw	Vitesse
2-1 @ 7.69% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 2.19% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.27% Total : 32.65%	1-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.58%	1-2 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.69% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 3.51% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.71% Total : 42.77%