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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vitesse win with a probability of 63.45%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 16.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vitesse win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.44%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vitesse would win this match.
Result | ||
Vitesse | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
63.45% | 20.12% | 16.43% |
Both teams to score 54.46% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.26% | 40.74% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.87% | 63.13% |
Vitesse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.79% | 12.21% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.12% | 37.88% |
VVV-Venlo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.03% | 37.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.26% | 74.74% |
Score Analysis |
Vitesse | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
2-0 @ 10.25% 2-1 @ 9.93% 1-0 @ 9.75% 3-0 @ 7.19% 3-1 @ 6.96% 4-0 @ 3.78% 4-1 @ 3.66% 3-2 @ 3.37% 4-2 @ 1.77% 5-0 @ 1.59% 5-1 @ 1.54% Other @ 3.67% Total : 63.45% | 1-1 @ 9.44% 2-2 @ 4.81% 0-0 @ 4.64% 3-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.12% | 1-2 @ 4.57% 0-1 @ 4.49% 0-2 @ 2.17% 2-3 @ 1.55% 1-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.43% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 7 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 21 |
2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 16 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
4 | FC Twente | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 14 |
5 | Ajax | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 10 |
6 | Feyenoord | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 10 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 10 |
9 | Groningen | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Heracles | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 9 | -3 | 9 |
11 | Willem II | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 8 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 7 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 7 |
14 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 13 | -6 | 7 |
15 | Heerenveen | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
16 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 6 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 18 | -16 | 2 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 19 | -16 | 0 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |