Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 69.85%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 12.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (8.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.11%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (3.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Utrecht would win this match.
