Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 27, 2023 at 4pm UK
Kotaik Stadium
Alashkert0 - 1Debrecen
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Alashkert FC and Debrecen.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Arsenal Tivat 1-6 Alashkert
Thursday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 20 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Debrecen 1-4 Torino
Thursday, August 1 at 5.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Thursday, August 1 at 5.30pm in Europa League Qualifying
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 58.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Debrecen had a probability of 17.97%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.56%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.21%), while for a Debrecen win it was 0-1 (6.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Alashkert FC | Draw | Debrecen |
58.22% ( -0.19) | 23.81% ( 0.11) | 17.97% ( 0.08) |
Both teams to score 45.95% ( -0.15) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.33% ( -0.28) | 53.66% ( 0.29) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% ( -0.24) | 75.16% ( 0.24) |
Alashkert FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.78% ( -0.17) | 18.22% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.75% ( -0.3) | 49.24% ( 0.3) |
Debrecen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.19% ( -0.07) | 43.81% ( 0.07) |