Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 3, 2023 at 8pm UK
Nagyerdei Stadion
Debrecen1 - 2Alashkert
FT
(aet)
(aet)
Debrecen win 3-1 on penalties
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Debrecen and Alashkert FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Debrecen 3-1 Mezokovesdi
Monday, July 31 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Monday, July 31 at 7pm in Hungarian NB I
Last Game: Alashkert 0-1 Debrecen
Thursday, July 27 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 27 at 4pm in Europa Conference League
| Team | Goals scored | Avg per game | Top scorer | |
| 1 | Debrecen | 3 | 3.00 | |
| 2 | Ujpest | 2 | 2.00 | |
| 3 | Varda SE | 2 | 2.00 | |
| 4 | Fehervar | 1 | 1.00 | |
| 5 | MTK | 1 | 1.00 | Nemeth |
| 6 | Mezokovesdi | 1 | 1.00 | |
| 7 | Paksi SE | 1 | 1.00 | Bode |
| 8 | Puskas Academy | 1 | 1.00 | |
| 9 | Diosgyor | 0 | 0.00 | |
| 10 | Ferencvaros | 0 | nan | |
| 11 | Kecskemeti TE | 0 | nan | |
| 12 | Zalaegerszegi TE | 0 | 0.00 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alashkert FC win with a probability of 52.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Debrecen had a probability of 22.35%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alashkert FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.06%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.92%), while for a Debrecen win it was 1-0 (7.52%).
| Result | ||
| Debrecen | Draw | Alashkert FC |
22.35% ( 4.74) | 25.18% ( 1.23) | 52.47% ( -5.97) |
| Both teams to score 48.43% ( 3.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
