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Aston Villa logo
Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Hibs logo

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Hibernian

Duran (11'), Bailey (34'), Cash (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Miller (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Aston Villa 2-0 Hibernian (Aston Villa win 7-0 on aggregate)

Able to play out the second leg in second gear, Aston Villa should serenely cruise through to the group stage by beating Hibernian again. Managerless Hibs are in disarray at the moment, and they will only have damage limitation in mind when they travel south to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawHibernian
48.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 22.87%28.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 62.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.36% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)60.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (0.00099999999999056 0)16.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39%45.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 48.71%
    Hibernian 28.42%
    Draw 22.86%
Aston VillaDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 3.85%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 28.42%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Hibernian

Aston Villa
85.1%
Draw
9.5%
Hibernian
5.4%
74
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2023 5.45pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Hibernian
0-5
Aston Villa

Boyle (90+1')
Watkins (17', 33', 48'), Bailey (42'), Luiz (74' pen.)
Digne (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool17133140172342
2Chelsea18105338211735
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest1810442419534
4Arsenal1796234161833
5Newcastle UnitedNewcastle188553021929
6Bournemouth188552721629
7Manchester CityMan City188463026428
8Fulham187742623328
9Aston Villa188462629-328
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton176742726125
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1872939261323
12Brentford177283232023
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham186572330-723
14Manchester UnitedMan Utd186482124-322
15Everton173861522-717
16Crystal Palace183871826-817
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1843112940-1115
18Leicester CityLeicester1835102240-1814
19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1813141137-266


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