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Aston Villa logo
Conference League | Playoffs | 2nd Leg
Aug 31, 2023 at 8pm UK
Villa Park
Hibs logo

Aston Villa
3 - 0
Hibernian

Duran (11'), Bailey (34'), Cash (61')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Miller (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Aston Villa and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Aston Villa 2-0 Hibernian (Aston Villa win 7-0 on aggregate)

Able to play out the second leg in second gear, Aston Villa should serenely cruise through to the group stage by beating Hibernian again. Managerless Hibs are in disarray at the moment, and they will only have damage limitation in mind when they travel south to Birmingham. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.66%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawHibernian
48.71% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 22.87%28.42% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 62.02% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.36% (0.0020000000000024 0)38.64% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)60.94% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.84% (0.00099999999999056 0)16.16%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.39%45.61% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hibernian Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.97% (0.0019999999999953 0)26.03% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (0.0039999999999978 0)61.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 48.71%
    Hibernian 28.42%
    Draw 22.86%
Aston VillaDrawHibernian
2-1 @ 9.4%
1-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 6.99%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 4.25%
3-2 @ 3.85%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 48.71%
1-1 @ 10.31%
2-2 @ 6.33%
0-0 @ 4.21%
3-3 @ 1.73% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.86%
1-2 @ 6.94%
0-1 @ 5.66%
0-2 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 3.12%
2-3 @ 2.84%
0-3 @ 1.71%
1-4 @ 1.05% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 28.42%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Hibernian

Aston Villa
85.1%
Draw
9.5%
Hibernian
5.4%
74
Head to Head
Aug 23, 2023 5.45pm
Playoffs 1st Leg
Hibernian
0-5
Aston Villa

Boyle (90+1')
Watkins (17', 33', 48'), Bailey (42'), Luiz (74' pen.)
Digne (21')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham3012994440445
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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