MX23RW : Monday, January 27 11:48:21| >> :600:1953314:1953314:
PAOK
Conference League | Group Stage
Dec 14, 2023 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
HJK logo

PAOK
4 - 2
HJK Helsinki

Ozdoyev (37'), Konstantelias (47'), Toivio (53' og.), Murg (85')
Troost-Ekong (35')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Radulovic (6'), Hetemaj (90+1' pen.)
Hostikka (22')
Coverage of the Conference League Group Stage clash between PAOK and HJK Helsinki.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 3-0 Lamia
Monday, December 4 at 4pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: HJK Helsinki 2-2 Aberdeen
Thursday, November 30 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 79.47%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 7.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.

Result
PAOKDrawHJK Helsinki
79.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 13.08% (0.0089999999999986 0.01) 7.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 49.63% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.55% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)31.45% (0.064 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.08% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)52.92% (0.075999999999993 0.08)
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.8% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)6.2% (0.014 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
76.57% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)23.43% (0.041999999999998 0.04)
HJK Helsinki Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.91% (-0.061 -0.06)47.09% (0.058 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.45% (-0.044999999999998 -0.04)82.55% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Score Analysis
    PAOK 79.47%
    HJK Helsinki 7.45%
    Draw 13.08%
PAOKDrawHJK Helsinki
2-0 @ 11.28% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.46% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 7.88% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 7.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-1 @ 5.48% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 4.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
5-1 @ 3.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.97% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.06% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
6-1 @ 1.41% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.15% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 79.47%
1-1 @ 6.11% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-0 @ 2.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 13.08%
1-2 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 2.2% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 7.45%

How you voted: PAOK vs HJK Helsinki

PAOK
66.7%
Draw
16.7%
HJK Helsinki
16.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 5.45pm
Group Stage
HJK Helsinki
2-3
PAOK
Bande (35'), Radulovic (90+9' pen.)
Hetemaj (61')
Koulierakis (55'), Despodov (81'), Brandon (90+4')
Despodov (64')
rhs 2.0
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