Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stadion Bijeli Brijeg
Zrinjski Mostar1 - 0Tobol
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between Zrinjski Mostar and Tobol.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Zrinjski Mostar 3-2 KF Tirana
Thursday, July 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 28 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Zrinjski Mostar win with a probability of 42.84%. A win for Tobol had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Zrinjski Mostar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.59%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Tobol win was 1-2 (7.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Zrinjski Mostar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zrinjski Mostar | Draw | Tobol |
42.84% ( 0.43) | 24.57% ( -0.17) | 32.59% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 58.35% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
