Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Molde win with a probability of 64.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 9.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Molde win was 0-1 with a probability of 22.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (16.63%) and 0-3 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.92%), while for a Dundalk win it was 1-0 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Molde would win this match.
