MX23RW : Thursday, November 21 13:11:51| >> :600:381017:381017:
Shamrock Rovers
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 8pm UK
Tallaght Stadium
Celje

Shamrock
3 - 1
Celje

Watts (37' pen.), Farrugia (41'), Burke (96'), Burns (106')
Greene (53'), Farrugia (72'), Honohan (78'), Hoare (108'), Pohls (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Karnicnik (83')
Stubljar (36'), Vuklisevic (52'), Karnicnik (87'), Kvesic (90+2'), Zec (105+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Shamrock Rovers and Celje, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shamrock 1-1 Drogheda
Sunday, August 11 at 7pm in League of Ireland Premier
Last Game: Celje 4-2 Radomlje
Sunday, August 11 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

We say: Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Celje (2-2 on aggregate a.e.t - Shamrock Rovers to win on penalties)

There was little to separate the two teams in the first leg and another tight affair could be in store on Thursday. Against a jaded Celje outfit struggling with fitness issues addressed by their own manager, Shamrock Rovers could be spurred on by the home crowd to victory in a contest that may go beyond the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Celje had a probability of 35.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.65%) and 2-0 (5.92%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%).

Result
Shamrock RoversDrawCelje
39.8% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01) 24.24% (0.0019999999999989 0) 35.95% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 60.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.83% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)42.17% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.42% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)64.57% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)21.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.78% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)54.22% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (0.0010000000000048 0)23.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85% (0.0020000000000024 0)57.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Score Analysis
    Shamrock Rovers 39.8%
    Celje 35.95%
    Draw 24.24%
Shamrock RoversDrawCelje
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 5.92%
3-1 @ 4.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 11.16%
2-2 @ 6.31%
0-0 @ 4.95% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.24%
1-2 @ 8.15% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-1 @ 7.22% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 5.27% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.97%
2-3 @ 3.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.45%
2-4 @ 1.12%
0-4 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 35.95%

How you voted: Shamrock vs Celje

Shamrock Rovers
46.9%
Draw
18.8%
Celje
34.4%
32
Head to Head
Aug 8, 2024 7.15pm
Third Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Celje
1-0
Shamrock
Menalo (34')
Zec (75'), Aarons (84')

Watts (30'), Honohan (65'), Pohls (73')
rhs 2.0
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