MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 05:04:11| >> :600:524557:524557:
Shamrock Rovers
Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Tallaght Stadium

Shamrock
3 - 1
Shkupi

Burke (13' pen.), Watts (29'), O'Neil (90+7')
Grace (31'), O'Neil (44'), Lyons (76'), Greene (78')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Queven (77')
Cephas (21'), Hamidi (30'), Diene (31'), Brdarovski (53')
Hamidi (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Shamrock Rovers and Shkupi, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shkupi 0-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Tuesday, July 26 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Shamrock Rovers 1-1 Shkupi

With little to separate these two sides, a tight affair could be on the cards on Thursday, although Shamrock will fancy their chances of success considering their impressive unbeaten home record. Shkupi performed well to claim a score draw against Dinamo Zagreb last month and we can see them forcing the Hoops to share the spoils in Dublin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 42.79%. A win for Shkupi had a probability of 33.65% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.28%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Shkupi win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.

Result
Shamrock RoversDrawShkupi
42.79% (0.0019999999999953 0) 23.56% (-0.041 -0.04) 33.65% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Both teams to score 62.41% (0.175 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.65% (0.223 0.22)39.35% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.31% (0.233 0.23)61.69% (-0.227 -0.23)
Shamrock Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.25% (0.093999999999994 0.09)18.75% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.86% (0.15199999999999 0.15)50.14% (-0.148 -0.15)
Shkupi Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.82% (0.13 0.13)23.18% (-0.125 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.93% (0.188 0.19)57.07% (-0.183 -0.18)
Score Analysis
    Shamrock Rovers 42.79%
    Shkupi 33.65%
    Draw 23.55%
Shamrock RoversDrawShkupi
2-1 @ 8.9% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-0 @ 7.28% (-0.054 -0.05)
2-0 @ 6.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.97% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.63% (0.021 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.4% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (0.01 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52% (0.014 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 42.79%
1-1 @ 10.63% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 6.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.35% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.77% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.55%
1-2 @ 7.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.040999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 4.64% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.79% (0.015 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.17% (0.021 0.02)
0-3 @ 2.26% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.16% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 3.12%
Total : 33.65%

How you voted: Shamrock vs Shkupi

Shamrock Rovers
73.3%
Draw
11.1%
Shkupi
15.6%
45
rhs 2.0
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