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Poland national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadion Slaski
Czech Republic national football team

Poland
1 - 1
Czech Republic

FT(HT: 1-0)
Soucek (49')
Brabec (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Poland and Czech Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Poland 1-1 Moldova
Sunday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Czech Republic 1-0 Faroe Islands
Sunday, October 15 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

We said: Poland 1-2 Czech Republic

A defeat here for the Czechs would make their final qualifier against Moldova an incredibly nervy encounter, so Silhavy will be desperate to see his side get a result here. Poland have to go all out for the win, but they have been hapless all through the campaign, and their chances may end here, while the visitors will be hoping for a huge favour from Albania. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Czech Republic win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Poland had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Czech Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.77%) and 1-2 (7.74%). The likeliest Poland win was 1-0 (11.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
PolandDrawCzech Republic
31.23% (-1.639 -1.64) 29.38% (0.954 0.95) 39.39% (0.684 0.68)
Both teams to score 43.23% (-2.991 -2.99)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.46% (-3.488 -3.49)63.54% (3.489 3.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.14% (-2.577 -2.58)82.85% (2.579 2.58)
Poland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.06% (-3.065 -3.07)36.93% (3.067 3.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.28% (-3.186 -3.19)73.72% (3.187 3.19)
Czech Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.55% (-1.343 -1.34)31.45% (1.344 1.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.17% (-1.583 -1.58)67.83% (1.584 1.58)
Score Analysis
    Poland 31.22%
    Czech Republic 39.38%
    Draw 29.38%
PolandDrawCzech Republic
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.53 0.53)
2-1 @ 6.67% (-0.509 -0.51)
2-0 @ 5.76% (-0.214 -0.21)
3-1 @ 2.21% (-0.376 -0.38)
3-0 @ 1.91% (-0.244 -0.24)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.274 -0.27)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 31.22%
1-1 @ 13.38% (0.13 0.13)
0-0 @ 11.61% (1.42 1.42)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.451 -0.45)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 29.38%
0-1 @ 13.43% (1.19 1.19)
0-2 @ 7.77% (0.425 0.43)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.214 -0.21)
0-3 @ 3% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.198 -0.2)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.236 -0.24)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 39.38%

How you voted: Poland vs Czech Republic

Poland
46.6%
Draw
20.3%
Czech Republic
33.1%
133
Head to Head
Mar 24, 2023 7.45pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
3-1
Poland
Krejci (1'), Cvancara (3'), Kuchta (64')
Szymanski (87')
Nov 15, 2018 5pm
International Friendlies
Poland
0-1
Czech Republic
Jankto (52')
Darida (85')
Jun 16, 2012 7.45pm
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