We said: Montenegro 1-1 Serbia
Serbia will be the favourites on Monday, but we are finding it difficult to separate the two teams in this contest. It would not be a shock to see an away or indeed a home victory, but a draw is a decent result for both sides, and we are predicting a stalemate in this Euro 2024 qualification fixture.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 49.15%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Montenegro had a probability of 24.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.77%) and 1-2 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.5%), while for a Montenegro win it was 1-0 (8.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.