FA Cup

FA Cup | Third Round

Jan 6, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

The Coventry Building Society Arena

Coventry
6 - 2
Oxford Utd

Latibeaudiere (8'), Sheaf (11'), Palmer (17'), O'Hare (50' pen.), Godden (84', 88')
Sheaf (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-1)

Harris (10'), Goodrham (79')
Brannagan (15'), Rodrigues (30'), McEachran (32')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Coventry City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Coventry City

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-3 Coventry
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

FA Cup

Last Game: Charlton 1-2 Oxford Utd
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Coventry City 3-1 Oxford United

Oxford are more than capable of making it three wins in this season's competition against a Coventry side that are unlikely to be at full-strength. The hosts are in strong form at the moment, though, and we are backing them to secure their spot in the fourth round of the FA Cup. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.48% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 6-2 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.

Result
Coventry City	Draw	Oxford United
46.1% ( 0.01)	24.42%	29.48% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 57.31% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.82% (

-0)

45.18% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47% (

-0)

67.53% (

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.29% (

0.01)

19.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.27% (

0.01)

51.73% (

-0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

-0.01)

28.63% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.57% (

-0.01)

64.43% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Coventry City 46.1%

Oxford United 29.48%

Draw 24.42%

Coventry City	Draw	Oxford United
2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.15% 4-1 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.28% Other @ 3.02% Total : 46.1%	1-1 @ 11.46% 2-2 @ 5.82% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.31% Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.42%	1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.42% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.84% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 29.48%