Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.76%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 32.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (7.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.