Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 83.1%. A draw had a probability of 11.2% and a win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 5.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.39%) and 4-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.28%), while for a Newcastle United Under-21s win it was 1-2 (1.79%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Harrogate Town in this match.