Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Scunthorpe United had a probability of 18.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Scunthorpe United win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.