FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 8, 2022 at 12.15pm UK
One Call Stadium
Mansfield2 - 3Middlesbrough
We said: Mansfield Town 2-1 Middlesbrough
This should be a fascinating encounter between two sides enjoying superb winning runs. With Chris Wilder expected to rotate his team and prioritise the Championship campaign, we think that there is potential for an upset in this tie – particularly considering Mansfield's strong record on home turf. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Mansfield Town had a probability of 34.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Mansfield Town win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Mansfield Town | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 34.51% | 26.53% | 38.96% |
| Both teams to score 52.29% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
