Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 45.81%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
Result | ||
Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
45.81% (![]() | 23.59% (![]() | 30.6% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.89% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.24% (![]() | 40.76% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.85% (![]() | 63.15% (![]() |
Chesterfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.92% (![]() | 18.07% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.01% (![]() | 48.99% (![]() |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.32% (![]() | 25.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.41% (![]() | 60.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 9.23% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 6.79% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.27% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.58% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.66% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.53% ( ![]() Other @ 3.69% Total : 45.81% | 1-1 @ 10.79% 2-2 @ 6.28% 0-0 @ 4.64% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.62% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.34% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.31% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.33% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.84% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.45% Total : 30.6% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 37 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 32 | 47 | 82 |
2 | York City | 36 | 21 | 8 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 71 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 36 | 18 | 14 | 4 | 55 | 29 | 26 | 68 |
4 | Gateshead | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 65 | 47 | 18 | 60 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 36 | 15 | 14 | 7 | 52 | 39 | 13 | 59 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 35 | 16 | 11 | 8 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 59 |
7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 56 | 41 | 15 | 55 |
8 | Rochdale | 32 | 15 | 7 | 10 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 52 |
9 | Eastleigh | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 49 | 42 | 7 | 52 |
10 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 36 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 46 | 40 | 6 | 52 |
11 | Tamworth | 37 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 47 | 57 | -10 | 48 |
12 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 46 | 44 | 2 | 47 |
13 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 46 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 36 | 12 | 10 | 14 | 41 | 47 | -6 | 46 |
15 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 37 | 10 | 15 | 12 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 45 |
16 | Braintree TownBraintree | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
17 | Woking | 35 | 9 | 14 | 12 | 38 | 49 | -11 | 41 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 52 | 56 | -4 | 40 |
19 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 47 | 53 | -6 | 36 |
20 | Fylde | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 42 | 67 | -25 | 36 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 42 | 58 | -16 | 35 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 41 | 68 | -27 | 34 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 28 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 37 | 1 | 11 | 25 | 26 | 80 | -54 | 14 |
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