FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport1 - 1Eastleigh
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Newport
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Newport County 1-2 Eastleigh
Newport have been stuttering in League Two of late and may not be the outstanding favourites to advance to round four at Rodney Parade on the weekend. Eastleigh have shown their effectiveness in knocking out superior opposition already this season, and we believe that the Spitfires will do the same in this one. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 63.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Eastleigh had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 1-0 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Eastleigh win it was 1-2 (4.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Newport County | Draw | Eastleigh |
63.65% ( 0.02) | 19.51% ( 0) | 16.84% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
