Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 57.04%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 21.75% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.24%) and 1-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 (5.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eastleigh in this match.
Result | ||
Eastleigh | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
57.04% ( -0.02) | 21.21% ( 0) | 21.75% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 60.5% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.62% | 37.38% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.41% | 59.6% |
Eastleigh Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.01% ( -0.01) | 12.99% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.5% ( -0.01) | 39.51% ( 0.01) |
Dorking Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.54% ( 0.01) | 30.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.33% ( 0.01) | 66.67% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Eastleigh | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
2-1 @ 9.8% 2-0 @ 8.24% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.08% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.67% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.96% 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.86% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.02% 5-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 3.86% Total : 57.04% | 1-1 @ 9.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.82% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.96% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.26% Total : 21.21% | 1-2 @ 5.71% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.7% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 21.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 27 |
2 | York City | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 25 |
3 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 24 |
4 | Rochdale | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 23 |
5 | Gateshead | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 23 |
6 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 17 | 11 | 6 | 23 |
7 | Eastleigh | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 21 |
8 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 19 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 15 | 0 | 18 |
10 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 7 | 17 |
11 | Halifax TownHalifax | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 17 |
12 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
13 | Woking | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 15 |
14 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 18 | -4 | 15 |
15 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
16 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 14 |
17 | Tamworth | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 19 | -7 | 14 |
18 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 13 |
19 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | -6 | 11 |
20 | Braintree TownBraintree | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 10 |
21 | Boston UnitedBoston | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12 | 22 | -10 | 9 |
22 | Fylde | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 9 |
23 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 8 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 25 | -16 | 5 |
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