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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Swindon Town had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Swindon Town win was 1-2 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Swindon Town |
41.83% (![]() | 23.96% (![]() | 34.21% (![]() |
Both teams to score 61.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.85% (![]() | 41.15% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.46% (![]() | 63.54% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.08% (![]() | 19.91% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.95% (![]() | 52.05% (![]() |
Swindon Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.28% (![]() | 23.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.15% (![]() | 57.84% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Swindon Town |
2-1 @ 8.85% (![]() 1-0 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.15% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.76% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.43% 3-0 @ 3.31% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 3.08% Total : 41.83% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 2-2 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.64% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.95% | 1-2 @ 7.89% (![]() 0-1 @ 6.8% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.79% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.35% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.36% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.1% Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |