Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 57.31%. A win for Lisburn Distillery had a probability of 21.69% and a draw had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.1%) and 0-1 (7.82%). The likeliest Lisburn Distillery win was 2-1 (5.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-8 was predicted with a 0% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.