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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Napoli logo

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Napoli

Biraghi (40'), N'Zola (42')
Mandragora (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rrahmani (8'), Kvaratskhelia (57')
Kvaratskhelia (41'), Cajuste (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
Monday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, May 11 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Napoli

While Osimhen has not quite hit the same heights as his 2022-23 Capocannoniere-winning season, his absence would be a significant blow to Napoli's chances of ending their barren winless run, and rearguard nous on the road often eludes the visitors. Fiorentina often struggle to bolt the back door shut at home too, but Italiano's well-stocked squad can counteract any backline mishaps at the other end of the pitch to extinguish Napoli's European hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
42.61% (-1.461 -1.46) 24.57% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 32.81% (1.478 1.48)
Both teams to score 58.46% (0.713 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (0.663 0.66)44.39% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (0.63999999999999 0.64)66.76% (-0.64800000000001 -0.65)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.38199999999999 -0.38)20.92% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.596 -0.6)53.64% (0.587 0.59)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (1.248 1.25)26.07% (-1.256 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (1.651 1.65)61.12% (-1.66 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 42.61%
    Napoli 32.81%
    Draw 24.57%
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.356 -0.36)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 42.61%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.115 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.234 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.204 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.222 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.165 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.112 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.81%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Napoli

Fiorentina
63.4%
Draw
19.5%
Napoli
17.1%
205
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2024 7pm
Semi-Finals
Napoli
3-0
Fiorentina
Simeone (22'), Zerbin (84', 86')

Biraghi (51')
Oct 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-3
Fiorentina
Osimhen (45+5' pen.)
Simeone (90+1'), Cajuste (90+5')
Brekalo (7'), Bonaventura (63'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Terracciano (45+4'), Martinez (69'), Bonaventura (70'), Ranieri (89')
May 7, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-0
Fiorentina
Osimhen (74' pen.)
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fiorentina
0-0
Napoli
Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')
Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
2-3
Fiorentina
Mertens (58'), Osimhen (84')
Gonzalez (29'), Ikone (66'), Cabral (72')
Milenkovic (11'), Cabral (73'), Ikone (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Napoli20152332122047
2Inter Milan19135148173144
3Atalanta BCAtalanta20134344212343
4Lazio2011363428636
5Juventus20713032171534
6Fiorentina1995532201232
7AC Milan1987429191031
8Bologna197932925430
9Udinese207582328-526
10Roma206682826224
11Genoa205871727-1023
12Torino205782025-522
13Empoli204881925-620
14Lecce2055101432-1820
15Parma204792535-1019
16Como204792233-1119
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2061132444-2019
18CagliariCagliari2046101933-1418
19VeneziaVenezia2035121833-1514
20Monza2027111928-913


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