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Serie A | Gameweek 37
May 17, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Artemio Franchi
Napoli logo

Fiorentina
2 - 2
Napoli

Biraghi (40'), N'Zola (42')
Mandragora (84')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Rrahmani (8'), Kvaratskhelia (57')
Kvaratskhelia (41'), Cajuste (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 Monza
Monday, May 13 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-2 Bologna
Saturday, May 11 at 5pm in Serie A

We said: Fiorentina 2-1 Napoli

While Osimhen has not quite hit the same heights as his 2022-23 Capocannoniere-winning season, his absence would be a significant blow to Napoli's chances of ending their barren winless run, and rearguard nous on the road often eludes the visitors. Fiorentina often struggle to bolt the back door shut at home too, but Italiano's well-stocked squad can counteract any backline mishaps at the other end of the pitch to extinguish Napoli's European hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 42.61%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 32.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Napoli win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
42.61% (-1.461 -1.46) 24.57% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02) 32.81% (1.478 1.48)
Both teams to score 58.46% (0.713 0.71)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (0.663 0.66)44.39% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (0.63999999999999 0.64)66.76% (-0.64800000000001 -0.65)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.08% (-0.38199999999999 -0.38)20.92% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.35% (-0.596 -0.6)53.64% (0.587 0.59)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.92% (1.248 1.25)26.07% (-1.256 -1.26)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.88% (1.651 1.65)61.12% (-1.66 -1.66)
Score Analysis
    Fiorentina 42.61%
    Napoli 32.81%
    Draw 24.57%
FiorentinaDrawNapoli
2-1 @ 8.97% (-0.148 -0.15)
1-0 @ 8.53% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-0 @ 6.68% (-0.356 -0.36)
3-1 @ 4.68% (-0.132 -0.13)
3-0 @ 3.48% (-0.228 -0.23)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.024 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.83% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.106 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.23% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 42.61%
1-1 @ 11.47% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 6.03% (0.115 0.11)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-3 @ 1.41% (0.06 0.06)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.57%
1-2 @ 7.71% (0.234 0.23)
0-1 @ 7.33% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
0-2 @ 4.93% (0.204 0.2)
1-3 @ 3.46% (0.222 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.145 0.15)
0-3 @ 2.21% (0.165 0.17)
1-4 @ 1.16% (0.112 0.11)
2-4 @ 0.91% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 32.81%

How you voted: Fiorentina vs Napoli

Fiorentina
63.4%
Draw
19.5%
Napoli
17.1%
205
Head to Head
Jan 18, 2024 7pm
Semi-Finals
Napoli
3-0
Fiorentina
Simeone (22'), Zerbin (84', 86')

Biraghi (51')
Oct 8, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-3
Fiorentina
Osimhen (45+5' pen.)
Simeone (90+1'), Cajuste (90+5')
Brekalo (7'), Bonaventura (63'), Gonzalez (90+3')
Terracciano (45+4'), Martinez (69'), Bonaventura (70'), Ranieri (89')
May 7, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 34
Napoli
1-0
Fiorentina
Osimhen (74' pen.)
Aug 28, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Fiorentina
0-0
Napoli
Martinez (60'), Jovic (68')
Zambo Anguissa (3'), Spalletti (19'), Raspadori (90'), Ndombele (90+3')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 32
Napoli
2-3
Fiorentina
Mertens (58'), Osimhen (84')
Gonzalez (29'), Ikone (66'), Cabral (72')
Milenkovic (11'), Cabral (73'), Ikone (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter Milan28187363273661
2Napoli28186445232260
3Atalanta BCAtalanta28177463263758
4Juventus281313245252052
5Lazio27155749351450
6Bologna281311444341050
7Roma28137843301346
8Fiorentina28136943301345
9AC Milan28128842321044
10Udinese27116103437-339
11Torino2881193334-135
12Genoa28711102636-1032
13Como2878133444-1029
14CagliariCagliari2868142843-1526
15Hellas VeronaHellas Verona2882182858-3026
16Lecce2867152046-2625
17Parma2859143448-1424
18Empoli28410142345-2222
19VeneziaVenezia28310152342-1919
20Monza2828182348-2514


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