Coverage of the Club Friendlies 3 Club Friendlies 3 clash between Rio Ave and Arouca.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-1 Benfica
Friday, May 17 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, May 17 at 8.45pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Arouca 1-3 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Saturday, May 18 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rio Ave win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 35.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rio Ave win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rio Ave would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rio Ave | Draw | Arouca |
39.14% ( -0.41) | 25.7% ( 0.11) | 35.15% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 55.14% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
