Two sides struggling at the bottom of the table face each other on Wednesday night, as Genoa travel to Spezia in what could be viewed as an early-season six-pointer.
Spezia went down 2-1 to Inter Milan on the weekend, while Genoa conceded two goals without reply away to Benevento, which proved to be the final nail in the coffin for Rolando Maran who was then sacked on Monday.
Match preview
Vincenzo Italiano's side are showing ominous form as they come into this match without a win in six league matches and currently sit four points clear of the relegation zone in 17th place.
Italiano will be pinpointing their defensive frailties as an area for improvement given that his side have kept a clean sheet on only three occasions in Serie A this season while conceding two or more goals in the other 10 matches.
In fact, no side has managed a higher such tally in the top five European leagues this season.
The Spezia manager will also be conscious of his side's dire home form which is the joint worst in the league this season, next to Torino's.
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Genoa's loss to Benevento was Maran's last match in charge after it was announced on Monday that he and the club would part ways.
Genoa have been on a torrid run of form, having won none of their last 12 Serie A matches, and now find themselves well and truly in a relegation battle.
It has been widely reported that Davide Ballardini will return to manage Genoa for the fourth time in his managerial career.
Across that time, Ballardini has achieved an average points ratio of 1.38 across the 78 Serie A games that he has been in charge.
Ballardini's first task will be to make sure his side avoid losing two consecutive games against newly-promoted sides in a single top-flight season for the first time since April 2016, as they travel to relegation rivals, Spezia.
The new manager will hope to draw inspiration from Genoa's strong track record against Spezia that has seen them win four, and lose only once to the Serie A newcomers.
Spezia Serie A form: DDLLDL
Spezia form (all competitions): WDLLDL
Genoa Serie A form: LLDLDL
Genoa form (all competitions): WLDLDL
Team News
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Valon Behrami is expected to come back into the starting XI after having to settle for the substitutes' bench in recent weeks.
To compound Genoa's woes, Ballardini will be without many of their key players, with what has become an extensive injury list.
Currently, Genoa are without former Chelsea full-back Davide Zappacosta, Federico Marchetti, Francesco Cassata, Davide Biraschi, Cristian Zapata, Goran Pandev and Vittorio Parigini.
For Spezia, centre-back Julian Chabot will return from suspension, with captain Claudio Terzi likely to make way.
Spezia are still monitoring the recovery of Juan Ramos, and he could feature, though Federico Mattiello, Elio Capradossi and goalkeeper Jeroen Zoet remain sidelined.
Spezia possible starting lineup:
Provedel; Ferrer, Chabot, Erlic, Bastoni; Pobega, Ricci, Estevez; Gyasi, Nzola, Farias
Genoa possible starting lineup:
Perin; Goldaniga, Bani, Masiello, Pellegrini; Ghiglione, Lerager, Sturaro, Pjaca; Shomurodov, Destro
We say: Spezia 0-1 Genoa
There will not be much between these two sides on the day, but we could well see the boost of having a new manager at the helm make a real difference, and that is why we are predicting a narrow Genoa win.
Top betting tip
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 45.43%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
