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USA national football team
CONCACAF Gold Cup | Quarter-Finals
Jul 10, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
Canada national football team

USA
2 - 2
Canada

Vazquez (88'), Kennedy (114' og.)
Cowell (96'), Miazga (120+1')
FT
(aet)
Vitoria (90+3' pen.), Shaffelburg (109')
Cavallini (42'), McGraw (56'), Miller (57'), Osorio (62')
USA win 3-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's CONCACAF Gold Cup clash between USA and Canada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: USA 6-0 Trin. & Tob.
Monday, July 3 at 12am in CONCACAF Gold Cup
All competitions
CONCACAF Gold Cup
Last Game: Canada 4-2 Cuba
Tuesday, July 4 at 11.30pm in CONCACAF Gold Cup

We say: USA 3-0 Canada

The Americans had no trouble getting through to the quarter-finals and have shown they are a force to be reckoned with, while possessing tons of attacking depth, perhaps more than anyone at the 2023 Gold Cup. Not only has it been forever since the Canucks have beaten the Yanks in the US, but this team, in general, look uncomfortable, have shown little cohesion and have been shaky at the back, none of which are encouraging signs heading into an elimination clash. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a USA win with a probability of 41.92%. A draw had a probability of 30.4% and a win for Canada had a probability of 27.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a USA win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.74%) and 2-1 (7.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.51%), while for a Canada win it was 0-1 (11.67%).

Result
USADrawCanada
41.92%30.43%27.65%
Both teams to score 39.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.38%67.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.32%85.68%
USA Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.94%32.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.47%68.53%
Canada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.85%42.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.43%78.57%
Score Analysis
    USA 41.92%
    Canada 27.64%
    Draw 30.43%
USADrawCanada
1-0 @ 15.37%
2-0 @ 8.74%
2-1 @ 7.55%
3-0 @ 3.32%
3-1 @ 2.87%
3-2 @ 1.24%
4-0 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 41.92%
0-0 @ 13.51%
1-1 @ 13.28%
2-2 @ 3.26%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 30.43%
0-1 @ 11.67%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 5.04%
1-3 @ 1.65%
0-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 27.64%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group A vs 2nd position Group D

1st ranked Group A
90.3%
Draw
6.5%
2nd position Group D
3.2%
31
Head to Head
Jun 19, 2023 1.30am
Final
Canada
0-2
USA

Kennedy (15'), Laryea (45+4')
Richards (12'), Balogun (34')
Cardoso (80'), Turner (81')
Jan 30, 2022 8.05pm
Third Round
Canada
2-0
USA
Larin (7'), Adekugbe (90+5')
Vitoria (31'), Buchanan (88')
Sep 6, 2021 1am
Third Round
USA
1-1
Canada
Aaronson (55')
Larin (62')
Jul 18, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
USA
1-0
Canada
Moore (1')
rhs 2.0
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