MX23RW : Wednesday, March 19 22:09:24| >> :60:64:64:
Austria national football team
Friendlies 1
Mar 26, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
Turkey national football team

Austria
6 - 1
Turkey

Schlager (2'), Gregoritsch (44', 48', 59' pen.), Baumgartner (78' pen.), Entrup (90+5')
Schlager (74'), Posch (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Calhanoglu (25' pen.)
Calhanoglu (31'), Guler (74'), Kokcu (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's friendly clash between Austria and Turkey, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Austria

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Slovakia 0-2 Austria
Saturday, March 23 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Current Group F Standings P GD PTS
1Belgium81820
2Austria81019
3Sweden8210
4Azerbaijan8-107
5Estonia8-201

Turkey

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Hungary 1-0 Turkey
Friday, March 22 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey8717
2Croatia8916
3Wales8012
4Armenia8-28
5Latvia8-143

We said: Austria 1-0 Turkey

 Following a resounding success in Slovakia, Austria will be confident of making it back-to-back March victories on home soil against Turkey. The Crescent Stars have struggled on the road recently, so we are expecting successive defeats for Montella's men. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 43.09%. A win for Turkey had a probability of 32.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.75%). The likeliest Turkey win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawTurkey
43.09% (-0.173 -0.17) 24.52% (0.074999999999999 0.07) 32.39% (0.095999999999997 0.1)
Both teams to score 58.47% (-0.219 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.69% (-0.304 -0.3)44.3% (0.303 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.32% (-0.296 -0.3)66.68% (0.295 0.3)
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.33% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)20.66% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.75% (-0.321 -0.32)53.25% (0.32100000000001 0.32)
Turkey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.71% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)26.29% (0.087 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.58% (-0.118 -0.12)61.41% (0.117 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Austria 43.09%
    Turkey 32.39%
    Draw 24.51%
AustriaDrawTurkey
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.059000000000001 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.75% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.74% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.55% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.87% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.4% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 43.09%
1-1 @ 11.44% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
2-2 @ 6.03% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.43% (0.071 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.41% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.51%
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 7.26% (0.077 0.08)
0-2 @ 4.85% (0.039 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.68% (-0.018 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.012 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 32.39%

How you voted: Austria vs Turkey

Austria
53.3%
Draw
16.7%
Turkey
30.0%
60
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2020 7.45pm
International Friendlies
Austria
P-P
Turkey
rhs 2.0
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