We said: Sweden 1-1 Austria
Two well-matched teams are set for a close contest, but Austria have the advantage of knowing a draw would cement their status as qualification favourites. If Sweden can get their attacking weapons firing fully, then a crucial win could be theirs - but the visitors possess plenty of nous and may hold out for a precious point.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sweden win with a probability of 45.45%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Austria had a probability of 26.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.9%), while for an Austria win it was 0-1 (9.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
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