MX23RW : Friday, November 22 02:59:30| >> :120:46352:46352:
Ecuador national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 18, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de Liga Deportiva Universitaria
Colombia national football team

Ecuador
0 - 0
Colombia


Hincapie (33'), Gruezo (41')
FT

Mosquera (9'), Sanchez (25'), Arias (27'), Cuesta (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Ecuador and Colombia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Bolivia 1-2 Ecuador
Friday, October 13 at 12am in World Cup Qualifying - South America
All competitions
World Cup Qualifying
Last Game: Colombia 2-2 Uruguay
Thursday, October 12 at 9.30pm in World Cup Qualifying - South America

We said: Ecuador 1-1 Colombia

With an additional automatic qualifying spot on offer to South America for the 2026 World Cup, these two nations will both expect to comfortably qualify after making positive starts to the campaign. As such, neither manager or set of players would likely be too disappointed with a draw, and that is the result we are predicting between two evenly matched sides. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 21.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.39%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EcuadorDrawColombia
47.24% (0.877 0.88) 30.82% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03) 21.94% (-0.844 -0.84)
Both teams to score 34.7% (-0.629 -0.63)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
28.85% (-0.373 -0.37)71.15% (0.374 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
12.04% (-0.234 -0.23)87.96% (0.23399999999999 0.23)
Ecuador Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07% (0.279 0.28)30.93% (-0.278 -0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.78% (0.326 0.33)67.22% (-0.32599999999999 -0.33)
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.23% (-1.119 -1.12)49.77% (1.12 1.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.5% (-0.795 -0.8)84.49% (0.794 0.79)
Score Analysis
    Ecuador 47.23%
    Colombia 21.93%
    Draw 30.82%
EcuadorDrawColombia
1-0 @ 18.06% (0.39 0.39)
2-0 @ 10.59% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 7.4% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.15% (0.15 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.89% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.053 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.01% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 47.23%
0-0 @ 15.39% (0.21 0.21)
1-1 @ 12.6% (-0.13 -0.13)
2-2 @ 2.58% (-0.093 -0.09)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 30.82%
0-1 @ 10.74% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 4.4% (-0.192 -0.19)
0-2 @ 3.75% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-3 @ 1.02% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 21.93%

How you voted: Ecuador vs Colombia

Ecuador
50.0%
Draw
25.0%
Colombia
25.0%
64
Head to Head
Oct 14, 2021 10pm
Group Stage
Colombia
0-0
Ecuador
Estupinan (54'), Mena (77')
Jun 14, 2021 1am
Group Stage
Colombia
1-0
Ecuador
Uribe (25'), Munoz (79'), Borre (90')
Valencia (87')
Nov 17, 2020 9pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
6-1
Colombia
Arboleda (7'), Mena (9'), Estrada (32'), Arreaga (39'), Plata (78'), Estupinan (90+1')
Ibarra (45+3'), Perlaza (51'), Plata (60'), Mendez (68')
Plata (80')
Rodriguez (45+1' pen.)
Lerma (13'), Murillo (53'), Cuadrado (66'), Suarez (86'), Fabra (90')
Nov 20, 2019 1am
International Friendlies
Ecuador
0-1
Colombia

Arreaga (65')
Uribe (42')
Barrios (80')
Mar 28, 2017 10pm
Group Stage
Ecuador
0-2
Colombia
Rodriguez (20'), Cuadrado (34')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!