We said: Ecuador 1-1 Colombia
With an additional automatic qualifying spot on offer to South America for the 2026 World Cup, these two nations will both expect to comfortably qualify after making positive starts to the campaign.
As such, neither manager or set of players would likely be too disappointed with a draw, and that is the result we are predicting between two evenly matched sides.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 47.24%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Colombia had a probability of 21.94%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.39%), while for a Colombia win it was 0-1 (10.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 15.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.