MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 04:56:13| >> :600:1935447:1935447:
Greece national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Semi-Finals
Mar 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Olympiako Stadio Spyros Louis
Kazakhstan national football team

Greece
5 - 0
Kazakhstan

Bakasetas (9' pen.), Pelkas (15'), Ioannidis (37'), Kourbelis (40'), Tapalov (86' og.)
Hatzidiakos (30')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Vorogovskiy (17'), Sadybekov (54'), Orazov (67'), Erlanov (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Greece and Kazakhstan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Greece 2-2 France
Tuesday, November 21 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Kazakhstan 2-0 Turkmenistan
Thursday, March 14 at 3pm in International Friendlies

We said: Greece 2-1 Kazakhstan

Despite being bereft of any household names, Kazakhstan have thrown down the gauntlet to many of their continental foes in recent months and will receive a timely boost with the return of leading scorer Zaynutdinov. Thursday's game should not be a totally comfortable affair for Greece, whose defence is unlikely to emerge unscathed, but we still expect Poyet's men to march on to next week's playoff final. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 72.66%. A draw had a probability of 17.7% and a win for Kazakhstan had a probability of 9.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.93%) and 3-0 (10.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.35%), while for a Kazakhstan win it was 0-1 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Greece would win this match.

Result
GreeceDrawKazakhstan
72.66% (0.72 0.72) 17.73% (-0.319 -0.32) 9.61% (-0.3971 -0.4)
Both teams to score 42.19% (-0.48699999999999 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.62% (0.213 0.21)46.38% (-0.209 -0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.34% (0.2 0.2)68.67% (-0.19699999999999 -0.2)
Greece Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.67% (0.255 0.25)11.33% (-0.252 -0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
64% (0.54900000000001 0.55)36% (-0.546 -0.55)
Kazakhstan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
47.58% (-0.686 -0.69)52.42% (0.689 0.69)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.72% (-0.446 -0.45)86.28% (0.449 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Greece 72.65%
    Kazakhstan 9.62%
    Draw 17.73%
GreeceDrawKazakhstan
2-0 @ 14.08% (0.16 0.16)
1-0 @ 12.93% (0.02 0.02)
3-0 @ 10.22% (0.22 0.22)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-1 @ 6.6% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.57% (0.175 0.18)
4-1 @ 3.6% (0.041 0.04)
5-0 @ 2.43% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 2.13% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.57% (0.034 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 72.65%
1-1 @ 8.35% (-0.159 -0.16)
0-0 @ 5.94% (-0.053 -0.05)
2-2 @ 2.94% (-0.087 -0.09)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 17.73%
0-1 @ 3.84% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-2 @ 2.7% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-2 @ 1.24% (-0.062 -0.06)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 9.62%

How you voted: Greece vs Kazakhstan

Greece
78.9%
Draw
9.8%
Kazakhstan
11.3%
204
rhs 2.0
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