Euro 2024

Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage

Nov 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

OPAP Arena

Greece
2 - 2
France

Bakasetas (56'), Ioannidis (61')
Bouchalakis (34'), Retsos (40'), Ioannidis (75')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Kolo (42'), Fofana (74')
Dembele (34'), Fofana (55'), Griezmann (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Greece and France, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how France could line up for Tuesday's Euro 2024 qualifying Group B battle with Greece.

Form, Standings, Stats

Greece

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: Greece 2-0 New Zealand
Friday, November 17 at 5pm in International Friendlies

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	7	26	21
2	Netherlands	7	4	15
3	Greece	7	6	12
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	7	-35	0

France

All competitions

Euro Champ Qualifying

Last Game: France 14-0 Gibraltar
Saturday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying

Current Group B Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	France	7	26	21
2	Netherlands	7	4	15
3	Greece	7	6	12
4	Republic of Ireland	8	-1	6
5	Gibraltar	7	-35	0

Tuesday's contest may be a reality check of sorts for France, who will not carve open a defensively-sound Greece side in the same manner as they did against the 10 men of a beleaguered Gibraltar, and Poyet's men will have had an extra day to recover from their exertions. The absence of two experienced lynchpins in Kourbelis and Mantalos is far from ideal for the Pirate Ship, though, and while changes are in the offing, we still expect France to close out a perfect qualification campaign with 24 points on the board. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greece win with a probability of 44.82%. A win for France had a probability of 29.64% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greece win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest France win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Greece	Draw	France
44.82% ( -0.85)	25.54% ( 0.4)	29.64% ( 0.45)

Both teams to score 53.69% (

-1.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.05% (

-1.45)

49.95% (

1.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.06% (

-1.31)

71.94% (

1.31)

Greece Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.75% (

-0.99)

22.25% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.31% (

-1.51)

55.69% (

1.52)

France Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.06% (

-0.42)

30.94% (

0.42)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.76% (

-0.49)

67.23% (

0.5)

Score Analysis

Greece 44.82%

France 29.64%

Draw 25.54%

Greece	Draw	France
1-0 @ 10.34% ( 0.3) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.57% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.12) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.15) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.13) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.82%	1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 5.35% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54%	0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.38) 1-2 @ 7.12% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.98% Total : 29.64%