Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Nov 17, 2023 at 3pm UK
Astana Arena
Kazakhstan3 - 1San Marino
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Finland 1-2 Kazakhstan
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, October 17 at 5pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Denmark | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 8 | -25 | 0 |
Last Game: San Marino 1-2 Denmark
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Tuesday, October 17 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
| Current Group H Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Slovenia | 8 | 11 | 19 |
| 2 | Denmark | 8 | 10 | 19 |
| 3 | Kazakhstan | 8 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Finland | 8 | 3 | 12 |
| 5 | Northern Ireland | 8 | -2 | 6 |
| 6 | San Marino | 8 | -25 | 0 |
We said: Kazakhstan 4-0 San Marino
Although San Marino will play with a sense of freedom now that they have finally found the back of the net, this should be one-way traffic in the home side's favour. With goal difference still having the potential to play its part, expect a ruthless showing from Kazakhstan. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kazakhstan win with a probability of 90.49%. A draw had a probability of 7.2% and a win for San Marino had a probability of 2.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kazakhstan win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.35%) and 4-0 (11.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.39%), while for a San Marino win it was 0-1 (1.03%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kazakhstan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kazakhstan | Draw | San Marino |
90.49% ( -1.33) | 7.21% ( 0.94) | 2.29% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 32.74% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
