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Alaves logo
Copa del Rey | Round of 32
Jan 4, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio de Mendizorroza
Real Valladolid logo

Alaves
1 - 0
Valladolid

Sylla (11')
Balboa (28'), Arroyo (31'), Sedlar (77'), Sevilla (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Feddal (5'), Malsa (41'), Perez (62'), Plata (86')
Coverage of the Copa del Rey Round of 32 clash between Alaves and Real Valladolid.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Merida 0-1 Alaves
Wednesday, December 21 at 6pm in Copa del Rey

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Valladolid win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 36.1% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Valladolid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.21%) and 0-2 (6.44%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (9.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
AlavesDrawReal Valladolid
36.1% (0.876 0.88) 26.53% (0.0010000000000012 0) 37.38% (-0.878 -0.88)
Both teams to score 52.45% (0.064 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.57% (0.049999999999997 0.05)52.43% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.89% (0.044 0.04)74.1% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Alaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (0.55600000000001 0.56)27.95% (-0.558 -0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (0.702 0.7)63.58% (-0.703 -0.7)
Real Valladolid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.8% (-0.47799999999999 -0.48)27.2% (0.478 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.39% (-0.624 -0.62)62.61% (0.623 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Alaves 36.1%
    Real Valladolid 37.38%
    Draw 26.52%
AlavesDrawReal Valladolid
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.131 0.13)
2-1 @ 8.04% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 6.18% (0.177 0.18)
3-1 @ 3.42% (0.104 0.1)
3-0 @ 2.63% (0.115 0.12)
3-2 @ 2.23% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 36.1%
1-1 @ 12.61%
0-0 @ 7.6% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.24% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.52%
0-1 @ 9.9% (-0.153 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.21% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.189 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.57% (-0.097 -0.1)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.122 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.16% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 37.38%

How you voted: Alaves vs Valladolid

Alaves
30.0%
Draw
30.0%
Real Valladolid
40.0%
10
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2021 8pm
Alaves
1-0
Valladolid
Joselu (66')
Pina (10'), Navarro (40'), Garcia (63'), Mendez (90+2')

Bruno (43'), Fernandez (48'), Fede (82'), Alcaraz (88')
Oct 25, 2020 1pm
Valladolid
0-2
Alaves

Toni (43')
Nacho (21')
Pina (55'), Sainz (85')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 9, 2019 12pm
Alaves
3-0
Valladolid
Joselu (26'), Pina (32'), Perez (75' pen.)
Laguardia (6'), Garcia (33'), Rioja (59')

Barba (31'), Alcaraz (74'), Porro (84')
Apr 19, 2019 8pm
Alaves
2-2
Valladolid
Guidetti (4'), Jony (24')
Calleri (54'), Marin (63'), Guidetti (81')
Fernandez (38'), Unal (76' pen.)
Fernandez (69'), Calero (73'), Michel (80'), Antonito (82'), Unal (85')
rhs 2.0
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