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La Liga | Gameweek 15
Nov 26, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Granada logo

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Granada

Garcia (10'), Maximiano (76' og.)
Marcelino (53'), Zarraga (62')
Martinez (90+9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Machis (25'), Molina (34')
Montoro (40'), Sanchez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Granada

Athletic are due a victory in Spain's top flight, and we believe that the home side will triumph here. Granada had started to show improvement before losing back-to-back matches, but Athletic should have enough to pick up an important three points at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawGranada
54.02%25.84%20.14%
Both teams to score 43.84%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.69%58.31%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.07%78.93%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.31%21.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.16%54.84%
Granada Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.98%44.02%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.86%80.14%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 54.02%
    Granada 20.14%
    Draw 25.84%
Athletic BilbaoDrawGranada
1-0 @ 14.59%
2-0 @ 11.15%
2-1 @ 9.15%
3-0 @ 5.68%
3-1 @ 4.66%
4-0 @ 2.17%
3-2 @ 1.91%
4-1 @ 1.78%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 54.02%
1-1 @ 11.97%
0-0 @ 9.55%
2-2 @ 3.75%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 25.84%
0-1 @ 7.83%
1-2 @ 4.91%
0-2 @ 3.21%
1-3 @ 1.34%
2-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 20.14%

How you voted: Athletic Bilbao vs Granada

Athletic Bilbao
79.3%
Draw
14.0%
Granada
6.6%
121
Head to Head
Mar 7, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 26
Athletic Bilbao
2-1
Granada
Villalibre (3'), Berenguer (90+1')
Garcia (28'), Vencedor (68')
Molina (78')
Herrera (59'), Diaz (90+5')
Sep 12, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 1
Granada
2-0
Athletic Bilbao
Herrera (49'), Milla (53')
Herrera (10'), Sanchez (45'), Gonalons (90+2')

Morcillo (15'), Martinez (52'), Lopez (72'), Alvarez (84')
Jul 19, 2020 8pm
Mar 5, 2020 8pm
Semi-Finals
Granada
2-1
Athletic Bilbao
Fernandez (48'), Sanchez (76')
Sanchez (50')
Berchiche (81')
Alvarez (40'), Vesga (73'), Simon (90')
Feb 12, 2020 8pm
Semi-Finals
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Granada
Muniain (42')
Garcia (16'), Williams (29'), Aduriz (67')

Diaz (29'), Soldado (65')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atletico MadridAtletico18125133122141
2Real Madrid18124241182340
3Barcelona19122551222938
4Athletic Bilbao19106329171236
5Villarreal188643430430
6Mallorca199371921-230
7Real Sociedad187471613325
8GironaGirona187472625125
9Real BetisBetis186752122-125
10Osasuna186752327-425
11Celta Vigo187382728-124
12Rayo Vallecano185762021-122
13Las PalmasLas Palmas186482327-422
14Sevilla186482027-722
15Leganes184681728-1118
16AlavesAlaves184592130-917
17Getafe183781115-416
18Espanyol1843111630-1415
19Valencia172691626-1012
20Real ValladolidValladolid1833121237-2512


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