La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 15

Nov 26, 2021 at 8pm UK

San Mames

Athletic Bilbao
2 - 2
Granada

Garcia (10'), Maximiano (76' og.)
Marcelino (53'), Zarraga (62')
Martinez (90+9')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Machis (25'), Molina (34')
Montoro (40'), Sanchez (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Granada, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Athletic Bilbao 2-1 Granada

Athletic are due a victory in Spain's top flight, and we believe that the home side will triumph here. Granada had started to show improvement before losing back-to-back matches, but Athletic should have enough to pick up an important three points at San Mames. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Granada had a probability of 20.14%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.97%), while for a Granada win it was 0-1 (7.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Granada
54.02%	25.84%	20.14%

Both teams to score 43.84%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.69%

58.31%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.07%

78.93%

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.31%

21.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.16%

54.84%

Granada Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.98%

44.02%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.86%

80.14%

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 54.02%

Granada 20.14%

Draw 25.84%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Granada
1-0 @ 14.59% 2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 9.15% 3-0 @ 5.68% 3-1 @ 4.66% 4-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.91% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.92% Total : 54.02%	1-1 @ 11.97% 0-0 @ 9.55% 2-2 @ 3.75% Other @ 0.57% Total : 25.84%	0-1 @ 7.83% 1-2 @ 4.91% 0-2 @ 3.21% 1-3 @ 1.34% 2-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.14%