Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Granada had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.16%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Granada win was 1-0 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Granada | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
32.83% | 27.89% | 39.28% |
Both teams to score 47.75% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
41.86% | 58.14% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
21.2% | 78.8% |
Granada Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.1% | 32.9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.52% | 69.48% |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.17% | 28.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.31% | 64.69% |
Score Analysis |
Granada | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 10.54% 2-1 @ 7.29% 2-0 @ 5.86% 3-1 @ 2.7% 3-0 @ 2.17% 3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.82% | 1-1 @ 13.11% 0-0 @ 9.49% 2-2 @ 4.53% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 11.79% 1-2 @ 8.16% 0-2 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 3.38% 0-3 @ 3.04% 2-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.69% Total : 39.28% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |