La Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 9, 2025 at 5.30pm UK
San Mames Barria
Athletic Bilbao1 - 1Mallorca
We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Mallorca
Three of the last five La Liga matches between these two sides have finished 0-0, and we are expecting it to be a tight affair on Sunday; another draw cannot be ruled out, but we just have a feeling that Athletic will be able to navigate their way to an important three points. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 70.84%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 10.15%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.22%) and 3-0 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.83%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca |
70.84% ( 0.45) | 19.02% ( -0.28) | 10.15% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 40.25% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
