Muriqi's return to fitness is huge for Mallorca, and it would not be a surprise to see him on the scoresheet for the visitors here. Athletic will be determined to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight, though, and we are expecting them to navigate their way to all three points on Friday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
0.22) 
-0.03) 
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