Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 54.21%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Mallorca had a probability of 20.76%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Mallorca win it was 0-1 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Athletic Bilbao would win this match.
Result | ||
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca |
54.21% ( 0.22) | 25.03% ( -0.03) | 20.76% ( -0.2) |
Both teams to score 46.82% ( -0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.18% ( -0.12) | 54.82% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.88% ( -0.1) | 76.12% ( 0.1) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.79% ( 0.04) | 20.21% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.48% ( 0.06) | 52.52% ( -0.07) |
Mallorca Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.67% ( -0.28) | 41.33% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.16% ( -0.25) | 77.84% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Mallorca |
1-0 @ 13.35% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 10.67% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.05) 3-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.28% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0) Other @ 3.51% Total : 54.2% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.72% Total : 25.04% | 0-1 @ 7.38% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.18% Total : 20.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 33 | 12 | 21 | 41 |
2 | Real Madrid | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 23 | 40 |
3 | Barcelona | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 22 | 29 | 38 |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 29 | 17 | 12 | 36 |
5 | Villarreal | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 30 |
6 | Mallorca | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 21 | -2 | 30 |
7 | Real Sociedad | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 25 |
8 | GironaGirona | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
9 | Real BetisBetis | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 25 |
10 | Osasuna | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 25 |
11 | Celta Vigo | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
12 | Rayo Vallecano | 18 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 22 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 23 | 27 | -4 | 22 |
14 | Sevilla | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 22 |
15 | Leganes | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 18 |
16 | AlavesAlaves | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 21 | 30 | -9 | 17 |
17 | Getafe | 18 | 3 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 16 |
18 | Espanyol | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 16 | 30 | -14 | 15 |
19 | Valencia | 17 | 2 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 26 | -10 | 12 |
20 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 18 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 37 | -25 | 12 |
> La Liga Full Table |